Political and social trends in the future of global security. A meta-study on official perspectives in Europe and North America
نویسنده
چکیده
The present paper provides a meta-study of security and defence foresight documents by the Atlantic Alliance, European Union and various official bodies linked to the Defence Ministries of Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, the United Kingdom and United States. It focuses on the political and social trends impacting on defence and military issues. In global terms, the following can be discerned: rivalry among major powers, with armed conflict between some not ruled out entirely; armed non-state actors strengthened by new technologies; global competition for natural resources; extensive demographic imbalances and migration flows; global risks associated with fragile states. In terms of European internal policy, the following trends are identified: population ageing and the challenges associated with immigrant integration; empowerment of interest-based and identity networks. The paper begins by familiarising readers with the characteristics of foresight documents and the methodologies used in
منابع مشابه
Recent Developments in Geopolitics of Energy and their Effects on the Political and Economic Future of the Middle East Countries
Energy has always been of particular importance to humanity. Oil and gas have been some of the energies that greatly influenced the national security of countries, which produce and consume energy. With the transformation of geostrategic discourse into geo-economic discourse in recent decades and the key role of economics in global relations, oil as the basis of modern industry has enjoyed a hi...
متن کاملتمایزهای گفتمانی راست افراطی در جغرافیای غرب با تاکید بر جایگاه مسلمانان
Why and how intensification of the activities of extreme right-wing groups in the West has become a major issue in security studies in recent years. Despite the differences in the activities of these groups in the two geographies of Western Europe and North America as the main focal points of Western civilization, the available evidence suggests that the greatest opposition to Islam and Muslims...
متن کاملIran and Canada Relations Main Obstacles and Bilateral Perspectives
Abstract:Despite Iran’s critical relations with USA since the Islamic Revolution in 1979, Canada had often played the role of an honest broker and maintained relations with Iran, con-trary to the US. Although the Canadian Government has not viewed the Iranian regime as democratic actor, it was interested in pursuing diplomacy for moderating the Iranian Policies too. Iran and Canada relati...
متن کاملClimate Change Impact on Quality of Life Indicators of Pastoralists (Case study: Rangelands of Haraz River Basin, Mazandaran province, Iran)
Climate changes pose great threats to the main services of ecosystems such as food security, water security and health. This research was carried out in Haraz river basin rangelands, Mazandaran province in the north of Iran in 2015-2017 to analyze the perspectives of Haraz river basin (HRB) pastoralists about climate change. From 5236 local pastoralists, the sample size was consisted of 350 one...
متن کاملUkraine crisis: Trends and Perspectives
Thecrisis in Ukraine has become a tragedy, as is evidenced by the thousands ofpeople who have been killed, and hundreds of thousands of refugees. It willalter the future of Ukraine, Europe, Eurasia and possibly the world. The crisisbegan in the fall of 2013 as a public response to the authorities’ ill-advisedpolicy and the greed of the elite. However, clumsy assistance provided byconcerned «par...
متن کامل